The 2016 election brought perhaps the biggest upset in recent American history. While Hillary Clinton was the resounding favorite to win the election, it is needless to say that that did not happen. As a result, political analysts now have a lot to consider in regards to the already much discussed 2020 election. Today we will review four key matters pertaining to that process.
Will Trump Even Run?
It’s usually a given that incumbent presidents will run for a second term but nothing about them, as of now, short Trump presidency has been typical. Even after only his first few months in office, President Trump revealed that the experience has been more challenging than he thought it would be, saying “I loved my previous life. I had so many things going. This is more work than in my previous life. I thought it would be easier.”
It is also worth noting that Trump is currently the oldest elected President in the history of United States politics. He was 70 years old when he took office and would be nearly 80 by the end of a potential second term.
Will Trump’s age, nostalgia for his old life, and his desire to be back at the helm of his business cause him not to run in the 2020 election? It’s too soon to say, of course, but the matter should become clearer in the coming months and years.
Will Trump Continue to Improve The Economy?
Trump’s prospects for reelection are ultimately going to depend mostly on how he performs in office. Presently, things aren’t terrible for him, as the economy has been on the rise since his term began. In fact, according to Ford O’Connell, Political strategist and adjunct professor at George Washing University Graduate School of Public Management, the economy will play a key role in 2020. In a recent interview with the Washington Times, O’Connell said, “if Trump can continue to improve the economy while simultaneously being seen as a decisive leader at home and abroad, he will win reelection in 2020.”
To date, the majority of the coverage pertaining to his time in office has been negative but some political analysts feel that he is doing better than he is being given credit for. If indeed, he does continue to inspire optimism in the workforce, it should give him a lot of momentum going into the next election season.
How Will Trump Handle Key Issues?
There is a lot going on in America right now. Violent gun crimes continue to be an issue, the opioid epidemic is on the rise, and the nation remains bitterly divided on important issues like immigration.
Less than a year into his term, it is too soon to say how the Trump presidency will be able to address some of these core issues. However, it is worth mentioning that Trump’s time in office has already had a significant impact on gun laws, and, seemingly, as a result, gun sales. Indeed, while background checks have been reduced since Trump took office, gun sales have also declined and fewer American homes than ever before currently contain firearms.
We can’t say for sure how Trump will handle domestic issues facing the United States in the long term, but success in this department will certainly lead to favorable polling during the next election cycle.
Will the Country Finally Come Together?
Trump has never been one to mince words and it is perhaps because of his unwillingness to allow political correctness to censor his language that some people love him, and others do not. Indeed, since he first descended the escalator at Trump Tower nearly two years ago he has been one of the most controversial figures in the history of American politics.
The nation is currently divided, but three years is plenty of time for a populace to unite. Trump already benefits from a base that is very eager to see him fulfill his campaign promise of bringing jobs to the United States. If he is able to continue to do that, it will certainly do well to earn him the favor of the 66% of Americans working blue collar jobs, who are currently watching their career prospects shrink.
Will he be able to appeal to the rest of the population in that time? It is too soon to tell, but if he can it will certainly go a long way towards seeing him reelected come 2020.
Andrew Deen has been a consultant for startups in almost every industry from retail to medical devices and everything in between. He is currently writing a book about scaling up business and his experience implementing lean methodology.